The real estate sector, that it has returned to operate with some normality for just over a month, is undergoing a gradual recovery at the operations level, mientras toda la economía se vuelve a poner en pie. “Prevemos una evolución de la economía ajustado a un modelo de `U´ no muy acusada, so we can predict a recovery of pre-COVID19 levels in a 80-90% at the end of 2021 ", explains Lola Alcover, secretaria del Consejo General de los Colegios Oficiales de Agentes de la Propiedad Inmobiliaria de España.
In this sense, and about the different theories about recovery, indicates: “Se han escuchado desde las previsiones más optimistas que vaticinan una benévola crisis en `V´ de la que saldremos con la misma velocidad a la que hemos entrado, even the most unlucky ones who opt for an 'L' model with a devastating fall and a slow and expensive recovery, also going through those that are somewhere in between and announce that the scenario that will be given will be a pattern in `U´, in which it will take a certain time, not short but not excessively long, in getting economic growth to pick up and getting back to pre-crisis figures ”.
Alcover comments that, after weighing the different scenarios, and after analyzing the first contrasted movements in the sector, and which are supported by surveys and polls carried out among the APIS, “we are reasonably optimistic, and they enable us to hope that the framework in which we finally move will bring us to a fairly smooth 'U' model ”.
Positive perception of the market
In relation to closed operations, desde COAPI se estima que “las señales que está dando el mercado son positivas y la situación actual es bastante mejor de lo que las graves circunstancias que hemos atravesado podían hacer prever; there being fluidity in both supply and demand ", according to the secretary of the institution.
"This scenario allows us to assume that there will be a gradual and constant rise in real estate activity, that I had been practically paralyzed, and that it would be feasible to achieve a sufficiently acceptable scenario by the end of 2020, con una paulatina recuperación del sector en la that throughout 2021 we can achieve, at least in a 80% The 90%; the pace of the real estate market prior to the covid-19 ", explica Alcover.
Regarding the price indices that may occur, It is estimated that there will be a decrease in the price of housing that moves in a range between the 10 al 15% on average, with the possibility that in some more disadvantaged areas the collapse will reach sections of the 20%, while in more prosperous others, the cuts they may suffer are below that 10%.
Change of trend in housing demand
But the covid-19, as far as the real estate sector is concerned, it has not only had consequences in the transit of the operations carried out o en el índice de los precios del mercado. One of the most outstanding consequences that is being detected unquestionably, and that all the polls ratify, es la de que “se ha producido un importante incremento en el interés de los clientes hacia viviendas que ofrezcan espacios habitables al aire libre y superficies de recreo ajardinadas”, explica la secretaria del Consejo.
Thus, a change in trend has been detected in demand that is now looking for single-family homes on individual garden plots, así como inmuebles integrados en propiedad horizontal que posean áreas verdes para esparcimiento común. “En todo caso, and as a common denominator of the essential minimum requirement, is demanded, at least, that the desired house has terraces or balconies. The glazing of these parts of the property, once so fashionable, It has now become a point against when it comes to valuing the farm ", afirma Alcover.